Acabem Com o Embargo
(Editorial
do New York Times, 11/10/2014)
Scanning
a map of the world must give President Obama a sinking feeling as he
contemplates the dismal state of troubled bilateral relationships his
administration has sought to turn around. He would be smart to take a hard look
at Cuba, where a major policy shift could yield a significant foreign policy
success.
For
the first time in more than 50 years, shifting politics in the United States
and changing policies in Cuba make it politically feasible to re-establish
formal diplomatic relations and dismantle the senseless embargo. The Castro
regime has long blamed the embargo for its shortcomings, and has kept ordinary
Cubans largely cut off from the world. Mr. Obama should seize this opportunity
to end a long era of enmity and help a population that has suffered enormously
since Washington ended diplomatic relations in 1961, two years after Fidel
Castro assumed power.
In
recent years, a devastated economy has forced Cuba to make reforms — a
process that has gained urgency with the economic crisis in Venezuela, which
gives Cuba heavily subsidized oil. Officials in Havana, fearing that Venezuela
could cut its aid, have taken significant steps to liberalize and diversify the
island’s tightly controlled economy.
They
have begun allowing citizens to take private-sector jobs and own property. This
spring, Cuba’s National Assembly passed a law to encourage foreign investment
in the country. With Brazilian capital, Cuba is building a seaport, a major
project that will be economically viable only if American sanctions are lifted.
And in April, Cuban diplomats began negotiating a cooperation agreement with
the European Union. They have shown up at the initial meetings prepared, eager
and mindful that the Europeans will insist on greater reforms and freedoms.
The
authoritarian government still harasses and detains dissidents. It has yet to
explain the suspicious circumstances surrounding the death of the political
activist Oswaldo Pay. But in recent years officials have released political
prisoners who had been held for years. Travel restrictions were relaxed last
year, enabling prominent dissidents to travel abroad. There is slightly more
tolerance for criticism of the leadership, though many fear speaking openly and
demanding greater rights.
The
pace of reforms has been slow and there has been backsliding. Still, these
changes show Cuba is positioning itself for a post-embargo era. The government
has said it would welcome renewed diplomatic relations with the United States
and would not set preconditions.
As
a first step, the Obama administration should remove Cuba from the State
Department’s list of nations that sponsor terrorist organizations, which
includes Iran, Sudan and Syria. Cuba was put on the list in 1982 for backing
terrorist groups in Latin America, which it no longer does. American officials
recognize that Havana is playing a constructive role in the conflict in
Colombia by hosting peace talks between the government and guerrilla leaders.
Starting
in 1961, Washington has imposed sanctions in an effort to oust the Castro
regime. Over the decades, it became clear to many American policy makers that
the embargo was an utter failure. But any proposal to end the embargo angered
Cuban-American voters, a constituency that has had an outsize role in national
elections.
The
generation that adamantly supports the embargo is dying off. Younger
Cuban-Americans hold starkly different views, having come to see the sanctions
as more damaging than helpful. A recent poll found that a slight majority of
Cuban-Americans in Miami now oppose the embargo. A significant majority of them
favor restoring diplomatic ties, mirroring the views of other Americans.
The
Obama administration in 2009 took important steps to ease the embargo, a
patchwork of laws and policies, making it easier for Cubans in the United
States to send remittances to relatives in Cuba and authorizing more
Cuban-Americans to travel there. And it has paved the way for initiatives to
expand Internet access and cellphone coverage on the island.
Fully
ending the embargo will require Congress’s approval. But there is much more the
White House could do on its own. For instance, it could lift caps on
remittances, allow Americans to finance private Cuban businesses and expand
opportunities for travel to the island.
It
could also help American companies that are interested in developing the island’s
telecommunications network but remain wary of the legal and political risks.
Failing to engage with Cuba now will likely cede this market to competitors.
The presidents of China and Russia traveled to Cuba in separate visits in July,
and both leaders pledged to expand ties.
Cuba
and the United States already have diplomatic missions, called interests
sections, that operate much like embassies. However, under the current arrangement,
American diplomats have few opportunities to travel outside the capital to
engage with ordinary Cubans, and their access to the Cuban government is very
limited.
Restoring
diplomatic ties, which the White House can do without congressional approval, would
allow the United States to expand and deepen cooperation in areas where the two
nations already manage to work collaboratively like managing migration flows, maritime
patrolling and oil rig safety. It would better position Washington to press the
Cubans on democratic reforms, and could stem a new wave of migration to the
United States driven by hopelessness.
Closer
ties could also bring a breakthrough on the case of an American development
contractor, Alan Gross, who has been unjustly imprisoned by Cuba for nearly
five years. More broadly, it would create opportunities to empower ordinary
Cubans, gradually eroding the government’s ability to control their lives.
In
April, Western Hemisphere heads of state will meet in Panama City for the seventh
Summit of the Americas. Latin American governments insisted that Cuba, the
Caribbean’s most populous island and one of the most educated societies in the
hemisphere, be invited, breaking with its traditional exclusion at the
insistence of Washington.
Given
the many crises around the world, the White House may want to avoid a major
shift in Cuba policy. Yet engaging with Cuba and starting to unlock the
potential of its citizens could end up being among the administration’s most
consequential foreign-policy legacies.Normalizing relations with Havana would
improve Washington’s relationships with governments in Latin America, and
resolve an irritant that has stymied initiatives in the hemisphere. The Obama
administration is leery of Cuba’s presence at the meeting and Mr. Obama has not
committed to attending. He must and he should see it as an opportunity to make
history.
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